An excellent talk by Dr. Vinod Khosla demystified and threw away expert forecasts on oil pricing in his keynote at TIECON 2011, see here on YouTube at time index 7:30.
With that in mind below is a forecast of oil production as presented in The World in 2015 by the Economist. What do you think?
See other interesting "eye-catching statistical landmarks" in the complete article here. Note that the article claims:
"The way people think about the world will undergo a radical change in 2015, as assumptions that have held steady for years are overturned."